FutuurVerifica disponibilitàDati di risoluzione verificatiProbabilità implicita attuale
No 86%
No 86%Qualità del mercato
33 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
1,2K €
Bassa liquiditàTrader
6
Commenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This event predicts whether María Corina Machado will be formally granted asylum by a country outside Venezuela at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, asylum means formal recognition of refugee or asylum status under international or domestic asylum law.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official statements or documentation from the granting country or relevant international authorities confirming asylum status.
- If María Corina Machado is formally granted asylum by a country outside Venezuela during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Temporary refugee protections, humanitarian visas, or informal arrangements will not count.
