Will María Corina Machado serve in a leadership role in a government in Venezuela by the end of 2027?
PoliticaOne-OffAmerica Latina1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 17:24 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 74.6%
Previsori
27
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto25 ott 25, 21:13 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves YES if Machado serves in some leadership role in the Venezuelan government by the end of 2027.
- I would count basically any role that indicates she is serving in a leadership position, even something like "Advisor to the President."
- The "purpose" of this market is to roughly predict whether the government that succeeds Maduro would be another Madurist government or an opposition-led government.
- I will not bet in this market to remain objective.
- Also, context: https://thebsdetector.substack.com/p/the-nobel-committee-is-hungry-for
