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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

YearlyPoliticaGeopoliticaLatin America6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Delcy Rodríguez
Delcy Rodríguez 91%
In testa tra 43 esiti
Qualita del mercato

56 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

114,9 €

Liquidità

441,6K €

Alta liquidità
Bid / Ask

0.1% / 0.2%

Spread

100.0%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 minuto fa

4 mag 26, 19:5831 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
0%
Edmundo González
Edmundo González
0%

Esito scelto

Delcy Rodríguez91%

Regole

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
  • Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
  • If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
  • Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
  • Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.

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Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

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Delcy Rodríguez: 90%KalshiKALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,654.11+2.24%SolanaSOL$65.16+1.55%EthereumETH$1,650.53+1.54%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.54%HyperliquidHYPE$55.05-0.50%XRPXRP$1.12+0.17%

Notizie Correlate

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Regole

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
  • Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
  • If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
  • Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
  • Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.