Will Donald Trump remain de facto leader of the United States beyond the end of his second term?
One-OffPolitica USAPoliticaElezioneGeopolitica2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 92.7%
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Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto6 nov 24, 15:21 UTC21 gen 29, 07:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Lots of possible edge cases here so this is going to be a judgement call to some extent.
- But here are some examples which may clarify the intent:
- Resolves yes if:
- There is a constitutional amendment allowing Trump to have a third term as President
- Trump dissolves the office of President and functionally becomes dictator-for-life
- Someone else is elected President on a platform of "doing exactly what Trump says" and effectively becomes a figurehead for Trump.