Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 84%
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1 gen 26, 05:39 UTC1 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
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Will the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
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PolymarketRegole
"invade" means US military attempts to seize territory in Iran.
- By themselves, airstrikes, a no-fly zone, and naval engagements do not count.
- An operation in which US military personnel are physically in Iran, but whose aim is not to seize territory (e.g. covert/clandestine operation), would also not count.