Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 83%
Previsori
29
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 minuti fa
9 giu 26, 14:45 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?
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PolymarketRegole
Resolves according to Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.