LimitlessVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiAvviso sulla qualità dei datiPrezzo non significativo
Dati al 25 ago 2026, 12:40 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
No 87.5%
Qualità del mercato
30 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Liquidità
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Liquidità sconosciutaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 minuti fa
25 ago 26, 12:0231 dic 26, 0:00
Trend
Regole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
2 piattaforme quotano attualmente questo mercato. La probabilità di riferimento ponderata per la liquidità di CoinRithm per Riferimento CoinRithm è del 13%. Le quotazioni differiscono di circa 1 punto percentuale tra le piattaforme più distanti.
Riferimento CoinRithm 13% · 2 piattaforme · 1 pt di scarto tra venue
Mercati aperti
Geopolitics
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+3.0pt87.1%
- Yes-3.0pt12.9%
- Volume totale
- 53,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2 Mln €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-6.2pt70%
- October 31-9.5pt50%
- September 30-13.0pt25%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22100%
- August 25100%
- August 31+1.4pt97%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt74.8%
- New People (NL)-1.1pt19.2%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.1pt5%
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 2027-5.0pt63%
- December-7.0pt46%
- September 30,-4.0pt18%
+8 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt17%
- October 3111%
- September 30+1.0pt7%
+9 altri esiti
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027??
- Limitless quota No al 88% al 28 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027??
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027??
- Limitless liquida questo mercato come segue: <p>This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Dove altro è quotato Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Manifold Markets, Polymarket.