Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 60.9%
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto10 gen 26, 07:14 UTC1 gen 28, 07:13 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will PMEX Markets be approved as a DCM by the CFTC?
Manifold MarketsWould Freddie deBoer win his proposed bet with Scott Alexander?
Manifold MarketsWould Freddie deBoer win his proposed bet with Scott Alexander?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
KalshiWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
KalshiRegole
A developer in San Francisco just proposed a new 24 story housing development on the waterfront on the site of the existing Safeway.
- It has generated significant controversy.
- Will it get approved substantially as presented e.g., 800 units.
- If it is not approved by closing date at the end of 2027 this resolves as no.
- Update 2026-04-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The project is currently proposed at 790 units.
- It will resolve No if the approved project is reduced by more than 10% in units or square footage compared to the proposal.
Mercati aperti
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+46.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.9pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 659,9K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-6444%
- 65-8925%
- <4019%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 23,8K €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- Yes-17.0pt68%
- No32%
- Volume totale
- 3,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6K €
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes+4.0pt18%
- Volume totale
- 18,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 1K €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volume totale
- 15,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 952,8 €
KALSHIUS test scores in Math in 2026?
- No significant difference+8.0pt39%
- Significant decrease-6.0pt34%
- Significant increase-31.4pt10%
- Volume totale
- 49,8K €
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will The Safeway Marina project get approved as proposed??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 61% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will The Safeway Marina project get approved as proposed??
- Will The Safeway Marina project get approved as proposed? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will The Safeway Marina project get approved as proposed??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: A developer in San Francisco just proposed a new 24 story housing development on the waterfront on the site of the existing Safeway.