Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 78%
Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto17 feb 26, 02:51 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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FutuurClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegole
See my tweet: https://x.com/realTomBayes/status/2023570876164120992
- Resolves when they are either accepted or rejected as an applicant.
- No time limit
Mercati aperti
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Volume totale
- 12,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 90,5K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-2.0pt51%
- Before Oct 1, 202749%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-6.0pt41%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 4,8 Mln €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 202754%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 877K €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt19.8%
- $1.75T–$2.0T+0.5pt18.9%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt17.9%
+5 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202795%
- Before Feb 1, 202793%
- Before Apr 1, 202792%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 6,5K €
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- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
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- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will PMEX Markets be approved as a DCM by the CFTC??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 78% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will PMEX Markets be approved as a DCM by the CFTC??
- Will PMEX Markets be approved as a DCM by the CFTC? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will PMEX Markets be approved as a DCM by the CFTC??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: See my tweet: https://x.com/realTomBayes/status/2023570876164120992