PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attualeNothing 96%+0.0pt
Qualita del mercato
66 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
613,5 €
Liquidità
9,4K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
95.2% / 97.8%
Spread
2.6 pt
Spread moderatoVariazione 7g
+0.6 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 20 minuti fa
11 feb 26, 20:1531 dic 26, 0:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Nothing97%
Trend del volume
$6992 lug21g di dati27 lug
Mercati Correlati
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
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Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
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Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
0 €Sì: 9%POLYMARKET
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Will SBF receive a presidential pardon by end 2026?
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MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Sam Bankman-Fried successfully appeal any of his convictions or sentence?
428,4 €Sì: 2.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
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MANIFOLD MARKETSAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
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This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- - Satoshi moves any Bitcoin - Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
- Satoshi moves any Bitcoin
- This market will resolve to “Something” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time during this market's above-specified time frame.
- The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto