Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved by an amateur??

Manifold Markets quota Yes al 51.1% al 24 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved by an amateur??

Will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved by an amateur? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2050.

Come viene liquidato Will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved by an amateur??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: EDIT: fixing resolution criteria directionality about amateurs

Simula un'operazione

Will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved by an amateur?

One-OffScienza

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

Sì 51.1%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 6 ore fa

Obsoleto

12 gen 24, 22:52 UTC2 gen 50, 04:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Mercati Correlati

Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.

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Regole

EDIT: fixing resolution criteria directionality about amateurs

The Millennium Prize Problems are seven famous open problems in math, all listed together in 2000.
One was solved; as of 2024, six remain.
Will the next one be solved by an amateur? This market resolves YES if the very next problem to be solved is solved by an amateur, and NO otherwise.
The close date will be extended as needed.
For the purpose of this market:

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Will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved by an amateur?

Will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved by an amateur?

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