Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeThe Hodge conjecture 52.8%+0.8ptIn testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
26
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-14.8 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
8 set 26, 22:00 UTC31 dic 98, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketWhich Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
KalshiWill some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PolymarketRegole
I criteri di risoluzione non sono ancora disponibili per questo mercato. Questa sezione verra popolata con i prossimi aggiornamenti quando le regole della fonte saranno salvate.
Mercati aperti
SciencePOLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt4%
- September 30-0.6pt1%
- April 300%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 59,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 176,8K €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028-1.0pt13%
- Before 2027-1.1pt5%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 29,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 203580%
- Before 2030-9.1pt62%
- Before 2029-7.9pt17%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 271K €
POLYMARKETAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
- No+10.9pt97%
- Yes-10.9pt3%
- Volume totale
- 24,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 3,9K €
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 1-1.5pt75.8%
- 2+0.5pt24.2%
- 3-1.0pt0%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Yes-1.6pt73%
- No27%
- Volume totale
- 302,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 2,8K €
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
- When will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved?
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next??
- Manifold Markets quota The Hodge conjecture al 53% al 17 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next??
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2098.