Will the Nasdaq Composite close 15% or more below its all-time high by April 2, 2027? (4/2/27)
FedYearlyIATecnologiaAzioni5m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 57.3%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto5 ago 26, 15:03 UTC1 apr 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, on any trading day from the market's creation date through April 2, 2027, the Nasdaq Composite Index (ticker: ^IXIC) closes at a price that is 15% or more below its highest closing price achieved up to that date (the running all-time high).
- If the Nasdaq Composite does not experience a daily closing drawdown of 15% or more from its running all-time high at any point during this period, the market will resolve to NO.
- Source of Truth: Daily historical closing data from Yahoo Finance ^IXIC or another major financial data provider such as Google Finance.
- Running All-Time High Definition: The highest daily closing price achieved by the Nasdaq Composite in its history up to the trading day in question.
- As of August 2026, the record closing high is 27,093.90 (set on June 2, 2026), meaning a daily close at or below 23,029.81 would trigger a YES.
