Will the Nasdaq Composite close 15% below its August 3, 2026 close by December 31, 2026? (12/31/26)
Bonds & TreasuriesOne-OffIATecnologiaEquities3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 83.1%
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto3 ago 26, 14:41 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, on any regular trading day from August 4, 2026, through December 31, 2026 (inclusive), the official daily closing price of the Nasdaq Composite Index is at least 15.00% lower than its closing price on August 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- Baseline Close ($C_{Aug3}$): The official closing price of the Nasdaq Composite on August 3, 2026.
- Target Price ($T$): $C_{Aug3} \times 0.85$ (rounded to two decimal places).
- Trigger: If the index's closing price on any subsequent trading day within the specified timeframe is less than or equal to $T$.
Mercati aperti
Bonds & TreasuriesKALSHIHow high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 4.86% or above99%
- 4.88% or above99%
- 4.91% or above99%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 25,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 25K €
KALSHIHow high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 5.31% or above99%
- 5.32% or above99%
- 5.34% or above99%
+17 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 16,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 14,7K €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 4.35% or above+21.0pt99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.41% or above99%
+22 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 14,2K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+45.5pt100%
- 4.91%+64.0pt94%
- 4.94%+70.0pt93%
+6 altri esiti
KALSHI5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 4.69% or above99%
- 4.65% or above99%
- 4.71% or above99%
+22 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 8,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 8,5K €
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- How low will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the Nasdaq Composite close 15% below its August 3, 2026 close by December 31, 2026? (12/31/26)?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 83% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the Nasdaq Composite close 15% below its August 3, 2026 close by December 31, 2026? (12/31/26)?
- Will the Nasdaq Composite close 15% below its August 3, 2026 close by December 31, 2026? (12/31/26) dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will the Nasdaq Composite close 15% below its August 3, 2026 close by December 31, 2026? (12/31/26)?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria