![Will the Milky Way still exist in 2030? [long-term interest rate market]](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fuser-images%252Fdefault%252FuRP5cdySLP.webp%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3D17d6f253-732f-4721-8f31-075afb093cb9&w=128&q=80)
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 96.4%
Previsori
78
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto9 gen 26, 08:06 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2030?
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PolymarketDrop in India’s S&P long-term credit rating in 2026?
FutuurDrop in Mexico’s S&P long-term credit rating in 2026?
FutuurRegole
Resolves to YES if the Milky Way still exists in 2030.
- I will treat this as an adversarial long-term interest market that should better reflect the interest rates in real long-term markets.
- I will try to keep the "No" price as high as possible.
- This may include:
- Buying "No" shares
- Buying "No" shares at inconvenient times to make people lose their league spot
Mercati aperti
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt53%
- No change-4.0pt47%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 89,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,3 Mln €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt45%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 33,3 Mln €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt47.8%
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt46.8%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No86%
- Yes+3.8pt14%
- Volume totale
- 995,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 39,4K €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)-0.1pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)+0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.3pt2%
+10 altri esiti
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt30.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt2.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the Milky Way still exist in 2030? [long-term interest rate market]?
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 96% al 7 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the Milky Way still exist in 2030? [long-term interest rate market]?
- Will the Milky Way still exist in 2030? [long-term interest rate market] dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will the Milky Way still exist in 2030? [long-term interest rate market]?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves to YES if the Milky Way still exists in 2030.