Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026?
GeopoliticaOne-OffIntrattenimentoRussia / Ukraine2mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 99%
Previsori
10
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto18 lug 26, 16:24 UTC30 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketRegole
This forecast will resolve YES only if all of the following conditions are met:
- On 12 August 2026, the Russia–Ukraine war officially ends through a peace agreement signed in Kharkiv.
- By 1 December 2026, Russia is replaced by a newly established Eurasian Union formed together with post-Soviet states.
- Relations between the United States and the new Eurasian Union have measurably improved compared with earlier in 2026.
- On 1 December 2026, the final broadcast in Azerbaijan is the film Stalin's Head.
- On the same day in Russia, private television channels broadcast Tri Bogatyry i Morskoy Tsar, children's channels broadcast episode 72 of Skazochny Patrol, and Russia's Patriotic March is played.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+1.1pt99%
- September 25-2.0pt90%
- September 30-2.0pt80%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 860,6K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volume totale
- 58,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 326K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.4pt60%
- October 31+3.0pt35%
- September 30-1.0pt8%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31+2.0pt21%
- October 31+2.0pt12%
- September 30+1.1pt4%
+9 altri esiti
POLYMARKETTrump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- December 31+0.7pt97%
- September 25+2.0pt88%
- September 23+7.0pt76%
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 99% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026??
- Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This forecast will resolve YES only if all of the following conditions are met: