Which of the following 10 events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order?
One-OffSocietà e cultura
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Human walks on Mars 74.2%In testa tra 10 esiti
Human walks on Mars 74.2%Previsori
49
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto28 dic 23, 19:04 UTC2 gen 50, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
Will resolve each event to a percentage as they happen, starting with 10% and working upward as follows:
- 1st event: 10% (happens soonest)
- 2nd event: 20%
- 10th event: 100% (happens latest)
- If there is only one unresolved answer left, it will be resolved to 100% YES even if that event does not actually happen, since we could we waiting for a very long time.
