PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
51.0+ · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Riferimento salvato
51.0+ 91%In testa tra 5 esiti
51.0+ 91%Qualità del mercato
33 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
89,4 €
Liquidità
2,7K €
Liquidità mediaOpen interest
3,3K USD
Bid / Ask
— / —
51.0+Spread
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Commenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 29 minuti fa
28 ott 26, 18:44 UTC1 mag 27, 03:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- No
Principali detentori
Caricamento dei principali detentori
Profondità di mercato · 51.0+
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
US birth rate increases by over 10% during Trump's presidency.
Manifold MarketsWill US birth rates rise above 2.0 at any point before 2030?
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Manifold MarketsWill Joe Biden die this year?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the general fertility rate (births per 1,000 women aged 15–44) in the United States in 2026 is equal to or greater than the listed value, as reported in the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) annual provisional births report for 2026, meaning the first NCHS report that presents provisional birth data for the full calendar year 2026, regardless of its exact title or format (see 2025 example, “Births: Provisional Data for 2025”: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/vsrr/vsrr043.pdf), estimated to be released in April 2027.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Provisional counts or estimates covering only part of 2026, and full-year figures published only in data dashboards, data files, or statistical tables rather than in such a report, will not be considered.
- The report is expected to be made available here: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/births.htm
- If NCHS does not release its annual provisional births report for 2026 by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- Note: The relevant data will be the general fertility rate in the United States in 2026 as stated in the annual provisional births report for 2026.
