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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Health & Medicine
  3. FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

1.0% (24h)Health & MedicineOne-Off6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 12%-0.0%
Qualita del mercato

52 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

238,8 €

Liquidità

2,4K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

11.0% / 12.0%

Spread

9.1%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

-4.5%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 5 minuti fa

12 gen 26, 23:0931 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes12%

KalshiDisponibile anche su Kalshi

Will the FDA approve retatrutide?

Will the FDA approve retatrutide?

11.0%6m
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027
-11.0%17%
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2028
-7.0%85%
Before Jul 1, 2028
Before Jul 1, 2028
-7.0%87%

+2 altri esiti

28 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale102 €
Volume 24h5,1 €
KalshiKALSHI

Regole

Retatrutide is a triple agonist hormone/peptide drug developed by Eli Lilly and currently in trial to treat obesity, fatty liver disease, type-2 diabetes, knee osteoarthritis, and more.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S.
  • Food and Drug Administration (FDA) grants a full or conditional approval for Eli Lilly’s for a drug product whose active ingredient is Eli Lilly’s retatrutide (including any brand name or identifier such as LY3437943) for any use between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • An approval is defined as: For new drugs: FDA issuance of an approval letter for a New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologics License Application (BLA) For already-marketed drugs seeking new indications: FDA approval of a supplemental NDA (sNDA) or supplemental BLA (sBLA) for the specific indication referenced For generic drugs: FDA approval of an Abbreviated New Drug Application (ANDA) For biosimilars: FDA approval of a 351(k) application
  • The following constitute qualifying approvals: Standard approval (traditional approval based on clinical benefit), Accelerated approval (based on surrogate endpoints), Approval with Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS), Approval with restricted distribution or indication limitations, except compassionate use/expanded access programs

I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.

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Regole

Retatrutide is a triple agonist hormone/peptide drug developed by Eli Lilly and currently in trial to treat obesity, fatty liver disease, type-2 diabetes, knee osteoarthritis, and more.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S.
  • Food and Drug Administration (FDA) grants a full or conditional approval for Eli Lilly’s for a drug product whose active ingredient is Eli Lilly’s retatrutide (including any brand name or identifier such as LY3437943) for any use between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • An approval is defined as: For new drugs: FDA issuance of an approval letter for a New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologics License Application (BLA) For already-marketed drugs seeking new indications: FDA approval of a supplemental NDA (sNDA) or supplemental BLA (sBLA) for the specific indication referenced For generic drugs: FDA approval of an Abbreviated New Drug Application (ANDA) For biosimilars: FDA approval of a 351(k) application
  • The following constitute qualifying approvals: Standard approval (traditional approval based on clinical benefit), Accelerated approval (based on surrogate endpoints), Approval with Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS), Approval with restricted distribution or indication limitations, except compassionate use/expanded access programs