Previsione della comunità attuale
No 93%
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto18 nov 23, 13:13 UTC25 nov 28, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Fed funds rate at end of 2028
KalshiNumber of FOMC meetings with FED interest rate cuts in the US in 2026
FutuurUS basic interest rate at the end of 2026
FutuurEuropean Central Bank interest rate decision in September
FutuurWill the Milky Way still exist in 2030? [long-term interest rate market]
Manifold MarketsWill the Bank of Japan have a negative interest rate again before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
[image]As defined by https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS
Mercati aperti
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt53%
- No change-4.0pt47%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 89,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,3 Mln €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt45%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 33,3 Mln €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt47.8%
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt46.8%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No86%
- Yes+3.8pt14%
- Volume totale
- 995,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 39,4K €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)-0.1pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)+0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.3pt2%
+10 altri esiti
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt30.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt2.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the effective federal funds rate (interest rate) drop to below 1% again in the next 5 years??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 93% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the effective federal funds rate (interest rate) drop to below 1% again in the next 5 years??
- Will the effective federal funds rate (interest rate) drop to below 1% again in the next 5 years? dovrebbe risolversi il 25 novembre 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will the effective federal funds rate (interest rate) drop to below 1% again in the next 5 years??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: [image]As defined by https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS