Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 96.8%
Previsori
36
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto10 dic 24, 19:58 UTC18 dic 26, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
PolymarketLuigi Mangione tried before 2027?
PolymarketWill Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027?
Manifold MarketsLuigi Mangione Pre-Trial Prop Bets (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsLuigi Mangione NY Pre-trial proceedings Prop Bets (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsZhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
Update 2024-20-12 (PST): - Market will resolve either way (N/A or YES/NO) if Luigi Mangione is found not guilty (AI summary of creator comment)
- Update 2024-20-12 (PST): - If Luigi Mangione is found not guilty and is alive when sentencing would have occurred, market resolves YES (AI summary of creator comment)
Mercati aperti
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Volume totale
- 347,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 27,4K €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Volume totale
- 497,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 12,5K €
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Volume totale
- 676K €
- Volume 24h
- 8,2K €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume totale
- 9,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 4,6K €
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Volume totale
- 577,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 3,7K €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
+3 altri esiti
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Luigi Mangione live until he is sentenced??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 97% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Luigi Mangione live until he is sentenced??
- Will Luigi Mangione live until he is sentenced? dovrebbe risolversi il 18 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Luigi Mangione live until he is sentenced??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Update 2024-20-12 (PST): - Market will resolve either way (N/A or YES/NO) if Luigi Mangione is found not guilty (AI summary of creator comment)