Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 91.8%
Previsori
199
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto18 gen 25, 02:16 UTC1 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which counts will Luigi Mangione be convicted on?
Manifold MarketsWill Lindsay Clancy be convicted of murder of her 3 children?
Manifold MarketsLuigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
PolymarketLuigi Mangione tried before 2027?
PolymarketWill Luigi Mangione live until he is sentenced?
Manifold MarketsLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Same resolution criteria as: https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/will-luigi-mangione-be-convicted-of
- Except, one year later.
- This market will resolve YES if:
- Luigi Mangione is convicted of murder (any degree) in connection with Brian Thompson's death by a court of law before January 1st, 2027.
- Luigi Mangione pleads guilty to murder charges in connection with Brian Thompson's death before January 1st, 2027.
- The market will resolve NO if:
Mercati aperti
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- Yes-4.5pt35%
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- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Volume totale
- 497,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 12,5K €
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
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- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Volume totale
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- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
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- Yes5.9%
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KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
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- Yes-1.0pt16%
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- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
+3 altri esiti
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- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 92% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027??
- Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Same resolution criteria as: https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/will-luigi-mangione-be-convicted-of