Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Any arrests where criminal/suspect references Mangione or the case 100%In testa tra 31 esiti
Previsori
23
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto16 dic 24, 16:37 UTC31 dic 26, 05:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Luigi Mangione Pre-Trial Prop Bets (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsHow will the situation in Russia change till the end of 2026 [PROP BETS/ADD ANSWERS]
Manifold MarketsScientology Run Prop Bets [ADD ANSWERS]
Manifold MarketsLuigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
PolymarketLuigi Mangione tried before 2027?
PolymarketTop AI model in September?
KalshiRegole
Each proposition will resolve independently based on publicly verifiable information from reputable news sources or official court documents before the start of the trial.
- Specific resolution criteria:
- Venue change: a request for a change of venue must be filed under NY CLS CPL § 230.20
- Venue change granted: court grants motion under NY CLS CPL § 230.20
- Reference arrests: Must be documented arrests where the suspect/criminal explicitly cites Mangione or this case as inspiration/motivation
- Plea deal: formal agreement to plead guilty or no contest
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 135,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7K €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 325K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Luigi Mangione NY Pre-trial proceedings Prop Bets (Add Answers)?
- Manifold Markets quota Any arrests where criminal/suspect references Mangione or the case al 100% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Luigi Mangione NY Pre-trial proceedings Prop Bets (Add Answers)?
- Luigi Mangione NY Pre-trial proceedings Prop Bets (Add Answers) dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Luigi Mangione NY Pre-trial proceedings Prop Bets (Add Answers)?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Each proposition will resolve independently based on publicly verifiable information from reputable news sources or official court documents before the start of the trial.