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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Crime & Justice
  3. Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

One-OffCrime & Justice6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 5%
Qualita del mercato

40 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

11,8K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

4.0% / 5.0%

Spread

25.0%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 9 minuti fa

29 gen 26, 21:0731 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes5%

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luigi Mangione is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If Mangione is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
  • If Mangione is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
  • If Mangione participates in a successful jailbreak or is otherwise liberated from state custody for any length of time, this market will resolve to "Yes".
  • Transporting Mangione to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

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Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luigi Mangione is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If Mangione is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
  • If Mangione is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
  • If Mangione participates in a successful jailbreak or is otherwise liberated from state custody for any length of time, this market will resolve to "Yes".
  • Transporting Mangione to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".