Will Israel and Hezbollah have a major war before January 1st, 2030?
GeopoliticaOne-OffMedio Oriente3a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 67%
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Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto8 mag 24, 20:22 UTC1 gen 30, 21:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
10,000 casualties or more within a month constitutes a major war.
- To make it more clear, a month is a calendar month, not a 30 day period.
