PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
December 31, 7%-3.5ptIn testa tra 5 esiti
Qualità del mercato
65 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
946,8 €
Liquidità
18,7K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
1.1 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
47
Variazione 7g
-1.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
24 nov 25, 18:27 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Hezbollah disarm by which date?
PolymarketHezbollah disarms by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsNext Secretary-General of the United Nations
PolymarketWho will be the next UN Secretary-General?
KalshiRafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027.
Manifold MarketsWhich Regional Group will the next UN Secretary-General come from?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.