KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Rebeca Grynspan 33.3%In testa tra 11 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
34 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
39,6K €
Alta liquiditàDati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
23 lug 25, 14:00 UTC5 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which Regional Group will the next UN Secretary-General come from?
Manifold MarketsNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by which date?
PolymarketRafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027.
Manifold MarketsWill Karina Milei leave the office of Argentina’s Secretary General of the Presidency in 2026?
FutuurWill the next Secretary-General of the United Nations be a woman?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Secretary General of NATO?
KalshiRegole
If the named outcome is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The UN
- An announcement alone is sufficient to resolve the market.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Next Secretary-General of the United Nations · Rebeca Grynspan 40%
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-8.0pt24%
- October 31-5.5pt17%
- September 30-4.5pt8%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 11,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 355,4K €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No84.2%
- Yes15.8%
- Volume totale
- 56,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 292,3K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+2.6pt66%
- October 31+4.5pt41%
- September 30+5.0pt24%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)79%
- New People (NL)-0.1pt17%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)3%
+5 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- October 31+15.0pt63%
- September 30+19.0pt49%
- September 21+21.5pt42%
+6 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+7.0pt92%
- September 18+10.5pt91%
- September 4+11.0pt87%
+2 altri esiti
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will be the next UN Secretary-General??
- Kalshi quota Rebeca Grynspan al 33% al 12 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who will be the next UN Secretary-General??
- Who will be the next UN Secretary-General? dovrebbe risolversi il 5 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Who will be the next UN Secretary-General??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the named outcome is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Who will be the next UN Secretary-General??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.