Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 93.2%
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto8 gen 26, 00:09 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if India and Bangladesh engage in direct military conflict involving armed forces of both nations by December 31, 2026.
- This includes sustained combat operations, military strikes, or armed clashes that constitute war or armed conflict under international law.
- The resolution will be determined by credible international news sources (Reuters, AP, BBC, Al Jazeera, etc.) and official statements from either government confirming military engagement.
- Isolated border skirmishes, protests, diplomatic tensions, or economic sanctions alone do not constitute war.
- The conflict must involve organized military operations by state forces.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will India and Bangladesh go to war by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 93% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will India and Bangladesh go to war by EOY 2026??
- Will India and Bangladesh go to war by EOY 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will India and Bangladesh go to war by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria