Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 75.4%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto10 ago 26, 23:11 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will win the civil war in Sudan?
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PolymarketWill there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026?
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PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, before December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM UTC, the civil war in Myanmar is officially declared or widely recognized as ended.
- The end of the conflict must satisfy at least one of the following conditions:
- Comprehensive Peace Agreement: A formal, nationwide peace agreement, political settlement, or permanent ceasefire is signed between the central ruling authority of Myanmar (the military-led State Administration Council (SAC) or its successor) and the primary armed opposition groups (including the National Unity Government (NUG) and key coalitions like the Three Brotherhood Alliance or its constituent Ethnic Armed Organizations (EAOs)).
- The agreement must be officially announced and remain actively in effect on December 31, 2027.
- Localized, temporary, or fragmented bilateral truces do not qualify.
Mercati aperti
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- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8K €
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- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
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+17 altri esiti
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- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 altri esiti
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- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
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- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
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- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
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- Volume totale
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Myanmar's civil war end before EOY 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 75% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Myanmar's civil war end before EOY 2027??
- Will Myanmar's civil war end before EOY 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Myanmar's civil war end before EOY 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria