Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 75.4%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo10 ago 26, 23:11 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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FutuurRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, before December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM UTC, the civil war in Myanmar is officially declared or widely recognized as ended.
- The end of the conflict must satisfy at least one of the following conditions:
- Comprehensive Peace Agreement: A formal, nationwide peace agreement, political settlement, or permanent ceasefire is signed between the central ruling authority of Myanmar (the military-led State Administration Council (SAC) or its successor) and the primary armed opposition groups (including the National Unity Government (NUG) and key coalitions like the Three Brotherhood Alliance or its constituent Ethnic Armed Organizations (EAOs)).
- The agreement must be officially announced and remain actively in effect on December 31, 2027.
- Localized, temporary, or fragmented bilateral truces do not qualify.