Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 74.6%
Previsori
31
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto22 giu 25, 17:30 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will win the civil war in Sudan?
Manifold MarketsUS Civil War by 1st Jan 2028
Manifold MarketsWill Myanmar's civil war end before EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsUS civil war before 2028 with Charlie Kirk shooting as major cause?
Manifold MarketsSudan civil war ceasefire by which date?
PolymarketWill there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026?
FutuurRegole
There is speculation that the strikes on Iran will destabilize it and lead to a civil war.
- Resolves yes if before 2028 there is a wikipedia page describing an Iranian civil war, no otherwise