Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 96.7%
Previsori
43
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
9 ott 24, 02:03 UTC2 gen 27, 06:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Elon spend a night in jail by EOY 2026 if Trump loses, or not if Trump wins?
Manifold MarketsWill Hunter Biden be physically in prison / jail at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill SBF be physically in prison/jail at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsReckless Ben in jail by December 31?
PolymarketJerome Powell in jail before 2027?
PolymarketWill Ekrem Imamoglu leave jail by the end of 2026?
FutuurRegole
As reported by major news sources.
- If in doubt or unclear as of question close time, then as confirmed by government sources such as court records and arrest records.
- Question close time may be extended if unclear and records are not yet available.
Mercati aperti
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Volume totale
- 347,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 27,4K €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Volume totale
- 497,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 12,5K €
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Volume totale
- 676K €
- Volume 24h
- 8,2K €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume totale
- 9,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 4,6K €
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Volume totale
- 577,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 3,7K €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
+3 altri esiti
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Elon Musk spend a night in prison / jail by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 97% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Elon Musk spend a night in prison / jail by EOY 2026??
- Will Elon Musk spend a night in prison / jail by EOY 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Elon Musk spend a night in prison / jail by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: As reported by major news sources.