Will Trump issue a blanket pardon for administration staff?
4.0 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneCriminalità e giustizia1a
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Dati al 29 ott 2026, 18:57 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Punto medio del book selezionato
Before Jan 21, 2029 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
Before Jan 21, 2029 81.5%In testa tra 3 esiti
Before Jan 21, 2029 81.5%Qualità del mercato
41 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
142,6 €
Open interest
477,4 USD
Open interest bassoBid / Ask
— / —
Before Jan 21, 2029Spread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo27 ott 26, 21:00 UTC1 gen 28, 15:00 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 5m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Before Jan 21, 2029
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
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PolymarketRegole
If Trump issues a single pardon that names at least 25 Trump administration staff, or that covers Trump administration staff as a group by role, agency, or policy area, before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to Yes if, during Trump's current Presidential term and before the deadline date, a single presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve names at least 25 Trump administration staff or covers Trump administration staff as a group by role, agency, or policy area. Trump administration staff refers to officials and employees of the executive branch (the Executive Office of the President, the executive departments, federal agencies, and the armed forces) who served at any time after Jan 20, 2025. Contractors and other non-employees are not Trump administration staff. A pardon covers staff as a group by role, agency, or policy area if it applies to everyone who held a role, worked at an agency, or worked on a policy, without naming each of them. The group must be defined by executive branch service. A single pardon is one proclamation, executive order, or warrant of clemency. A pardon counts even if no recipient has been charged with a crime, and even if a recipient rejects it. Examples: One proclamation pardoning all officers and employees of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement → resolves to Yes One proclamation pardoning all federal personnel for conduct relating to immigration enforcement → resolves to Yes One warrant naming 30 White House aides → resolves to Yes 40 separate warrants issued on the same day, each naming one aide → resolves to No The following do NOT count: Separate pardons that each name fewer than 25 staff, even if together they name more Pardons defined only by an offense or event and open to people regardless of executive branch service, unless the pardon names at least 25 Trump administration staff Pardons that cover only people whose executive branch service ended before Jan 20, 2025 State pardons
Regole per ogni esito
- Before Jan 21, 2029
- If Trump issues a single pardon that names at least 25 Trump administration staff, or that covers Trump administration staff as a group by role, agency, or policy area, before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Trump issues a single pardon that names at least 25 Trump administration staff, or that covers Trump administration staff as a group by role, agency, or policy area, before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Trump issues a single pardon that names at least 25 Trump administration staff, or that covers Trump administration staff as a group by role, agency, or policy area, before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.