Will Elon spend a night in jail by EOY 2026 if Trump loses, or not if Trump wins?
PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezioneCrime & Justice3m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 94.8%
Previsori
113
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto9 ott 24, 02:09 UTC2 gen 27, 06:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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FutuurRegole
[tweet]This is a derivative question; it will resolve exactly according to these questions: @/ManifoldPolitics/will-trump-win-the-2024-election
- @/EvanDaniel/will-elon-musk-spend-a-night-in-pri
- It will resolve yes if those questions resolve in different ways.
- That is, if Trump wins and Elon stays out of jail, or Trump loses and Elon goes to jail, this will resolve Yes.
- If the questions resolve in the same way, this question will resolve No.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Elon spend a night in jail by EOY 2026 if Trump loses, or not if Trump wins??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 95% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Elon spend a night in jail by EOY 2026 if Trump loses, or not if Trump wins??
- Will Elon spend a night in jail by EOY 2026 if Trump loses, or not if Trump wins? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Elon spend a night in jail by EOY 2026 if Trump loses, or not if Trump wins??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: [tweet]This is a derivative question; it will resolve exactly according to these questions: @/ManifoldPolitics/will-trump-win-the-2024-election