Will Argentina start another war over the Falklands before April 2027?
GeopoliticaOne-OffLatin America6mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 94.1%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
26 apr 26, 16:03 UTC31 mar 27, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any time before April 26, 2027, the government of Argentina initiates, declares, or engages in an armed military conflict against the United Kingdom with the explicit objective of taking control of the Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas).
- An "armed military conflict" implies official military engagement between the armed forces of both nations.
- This market resolves to NO if no such conflict occurs before the specified date.
- The primary sources for resolution will be official announcements from the governments of the United Kingdom and Argentina, as well as reporting from reputable international news outlets (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, BBC).
- If the event occurs, the market will resolve based on confirmation from these sources.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Argentina start another war over the Falklands before April 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 94% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Argentina start another war over the Falklands before April 2027??
- Will Argentina start another war over the Falklands before April 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 marzo 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Argentina start another war over the Falklands before April 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria