Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027?
Latin AmericaOne-Off1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 95.7%
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Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
24 gen 24, 18:29 UTC1 gen 28, 04:59 UTC
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Milei's new administration has reiterated his desire to regain the Falklands as Argentine possessions (spanish announcement here).
- Given he's outright ruled out the use of force (as he correctly observed that didn't go well last time), he's announced he intends to explore "all diplomatic channels."
- This market resolves YES if the Falklands have returned to Argentine possession by the close date, or if an official agreement has been ratified between Britain and Argentina about transferring sovereignty of the islands to Argentina on some fixed timeline.
- This remains a YES even if there are some caveats to that sovereignty, so long as the international community recognizes the islands as being Argentine territory.
- I reserve the right to adjudicate edge cases of this sort by my own sole opinion.
- It resolves NO if the Falklands remain a British possession at market close, or if some other country has taken them over.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 96% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027??
- Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Milei's new administration has reiterated his desire to regain the Falklands as Argentine possessions (spanish announcement here).