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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

0.1% (24h)One-OffPoliticaGeopoliticaLatin America6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 4%
Qualita del mercato

44 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

89,8 €

Liquidità

11,5K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

3.1% / 4.9%

Spread

58.1%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

+0.1%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 minuto fa

27 apr 26, 22:0631 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes4%

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom formally announces the transfer of sovereignty over any area of the Falkland Islands to Argentina by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • An official announcement from the government of the United Kingdom confirming that sovereignty of any part of the Falkland Islands has been or will be legally and officially transferred to Argentina is required.
  • Negotiations, announcements or claims solely from Argentina, or other actions which do not definitively announce the transfer of sovereignty over the Falkland Islands will not qualify.
  • A consensus of credible reporting that the United Kingdom and Argentina have agreed to a binding agreement or legal instrument resulting in a defined area of the Falkland Islands coming under the formal sovereignty of Argentina will also qualify, even if the effective date of the sovereignty transfer occurs after the market deadline.
  • The primary resolution source will be official government statements from the United Kingdom and Argentina; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom formally announces the transfer of sovereignty over any area of the Falkland Islands to Argentina by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • An official announcement from the government of the United Kingdom confirming that sovereignty of any part of the Falkland Islands has been or will be legally and officially transferred to Argentina is required.
  • Negotiations, announcements or claims solely from Argentina, or other actions which do not definitively announce the transfer of sovereignty over the Falkland Islands will not qualify.
  • A consensus of credible reporting that the United Kingdom and Argentina have agreed to a binding agreement or legal instrument resulting in a defined area of the Falkland Islands coming under the formal sovereignty of Argentina will also qualify, even if the effective date of the sovereignty transfer occurs after the market deadline.
  • The primary resolution source will be official government statements from the United Kingdom and Argentina; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.