If Argentina successfully invades the Falkland Islands before 2040, will the UK regain control of them within a year?
GeopoliticaOne-OffAmerica Latina13aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 54.8%
Previsori
1
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
3 set 23, 12:15 UTC1 gen 40, 15:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
Resolves YES on British media consensus that the UK retook the Falkland Islands within a year after Argentina mounted a successful invasion
- Resolves NO on British media consensus that the UK did not retake the Falkland Islands within a year after Argentina mounted a successful invasion, regardless of whether the UK mounted any such attempt.
- Resolves NA if neither of these are true by 2040, except in the case that Argentina successfully invaded in 2039, in which case the market will be extended until one year after Argentina took control of the islands (with a good faith attempt made by the market controller to determine an exact date)
