Will any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026?
Medio OrienteOne-OffRussia / UcrainaCinaAmerica Latina2mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 13:55 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 72.9%
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Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto26 nov 23, 20:32 UTC31 dic 26, 22:59 UTC
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KalshiRegole
147 countries are currently party to the 1967 Protocol that extended the Geneva convention signed in 1951 (see the UNHCR website).
- Will any country leave the protocol by Dec 31, 2026?
- This market resolves YES if a party that was previously a party to the protocol decides to leave it.
- If a country splits in two and one country decides not to join within two years after being recognized by the UN, it will count as YES, otherwise, it will not be taken into account.
- If two countries regroup where one was a party of the protocol and the other was not, it will count as YES if the newly form country decides not to be party to the convention.
- The current list is: