KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeSì 14%
Qualita del mercato
44 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
12 €
Liquidità
5,6K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
14.0% / 16.0%
Spread
14.3%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 24 minuti fa
28 apr 26, 15:001 gen 27, 4:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Yes14%
Confronta le piattaforme· No
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMigliore in assoluto65% di corrispondenza · auto | Bassa | 89% | +77pt | 32,4 € | 9,1K € | 4 minuti fa | Apri → |
| KalshiQuesta pagina | Bassa | 86% | +74pt | 12 € | 5,6K € | 24 minuti fa | |
 Futuur90% di corrispondenza · auto | Bassa | 73% | +61pt | 0 € | 1,3K € | 1 minuto fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Futuur
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
5m
73%
27%
28 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale1,3 €
Volume 24h0 €
FUTUURDisponibile anche su Polymarket
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
0.5%5m
89%
+0.0%11%
44 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioLiquidità media
Volume totale139,1K €
Volume 24h32,4 €
POLYMARKETRegole
If any member state of OPEC announces they are leaving the organization before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
- The following do NOT qualify:
- Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$142 lug21g di dati26 lug
Mercati Correlati
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
4,4 €Sì: 7%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
6,2K €Above $6.40: 8%KALSHI
KALSHI
Alaska commercial salmon harvest in 2026?
1,7K €At least 140 million: 28%KALSHI
KALSHI
How high will gas prices in Florida get this year?
596,7 €Above $4.90: 43%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?
427 €JPMorgan Chase: 4%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 50 USD/kg on December 31, 2026?
7,9 €Sì: 52.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsPolymarket: Iran regime-fall odds dip to 9.5% despite escalation reportBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Hormuz traffic 'Yes' sinks to 1.15% after Trump strike threatBlockchain.News
US inflation falls to 3.5% as Bitcoin rebounds toward $65KCrypto NewsRegole
If any member state of OPEC announces they are leaving the organization before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
- The following do NOT qualify:
- Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments