KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 76%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
3,7K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
24.0% / 28.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
28 apr 26, 15:00 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Venezuela exit OPEC?
KalshiOPEC dissolves in 2026?
PolymarketWill any country leave NATO by which date?
PolymarketWill a country leave BRICS in 2026?
PolymarketWill any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a country leave NATO this year?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If any member state of OPEC announces they are leaving the organization before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The Washington PostDeutsche WelleFinancial TimesFrance 24 EnglishThe GuardianNBC NewsThe Times of IndiaFox NewsCBS NewsABC NewsThe Wall Street JournalNHK World-JapanCNNThe New York TimesBBC NewsThe Globe and MailAl Jazeera Englishthe Associated PressReutersThe South China Morning PostPoliticoChannel NewsAsiaBloomberg News
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
- The following do NOT qualify:
- Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
3 piattaforme quotano attualmente questo mercato. La probabilità di riferimento ponderata per la liquidità di CoinRithm per Riferimento CoinRithm è del 26%. Le quotazioni differiscono di circa 2 punti percentuali tra le piattaforme più distanti.
Riferimento CoinRithm 26% · 3 piattaforme · 2 pt di scarto tra venue
Mercati aperti
CommoditiesKALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 17, 2026?
- Above $95.99+8.0pt99%
- Above $96.49+33.0pt99%
- Above $94.99+11.0pt99%
+27 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 441,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 377,3K €
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $100+42.5pt100%
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
+30 altri esiti
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.4600+15.0pt99%
- Above 4.3800+4.0pt99%
- Above 4.4000+19.0pt99%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIGold 15 min · $4,364.81 target
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Volume totale
- 161K €
- Volume 24h
- 102,1K €
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.445099%
- Above 4.455099%
- Above 4.410099%
+24 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 100,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 100,7K €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027+7.0pt22%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+5.0pt21%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-5.0pt19%
+7 altri esiti
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 18, 2026?
- Brent crude oil price on September 17, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Michigan gas prices tomorrow
- Gold price on September 17, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Diesel prices this week
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- Florida gas prices tomorrow
- Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will another country leave OPEC in 2026??
- Kalshi quota No al 76% al 17 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will another country leave OPEC in 2026??
- Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will another country leave OPEC in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If any member state of OPEC announces they are leaving the organization before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Will another country leave OPEC in 2026??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Futuur, Limitless, Polymarket.