PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 74.3%-1.0pt
Qualità del mercato
65 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
165,4 €
Liquidità
3,9K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
25.0% / 26.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
3
Variazione 7g
-10.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
28 apr 26, 17:15 UTC31 dic 26, 19:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
PolymarketWill any country leave NATO by which date?
PolymarketWill a country leave BRICS in 2026?
PolymarketWill any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a country leave NATO this year?
Manifold MarketsWill any country leave NATO in 2026?
FutuurRegole
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC.
- You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
- Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
3 piattaforme quotano attualmente questo mercato. La probabilità di riferimento ponderata per la liquidità di CoinRithm per Riferimento CoinRithm è del 26%. Le quotazioni differiscono di circa 2 punti percentuali tra le piattaforme più distanti.
Riferimento CoinRithm 26% · 3 piattaforme · 2 pt di scarto tra venue
Mercati aperti
Commodities
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 17, 2026?
- Above $95.99+8.0pt99%
- Above $96.49+33.0pt99%
- Above $94.99+11.0pt99%
+27 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 441,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 377,3K €
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $100+42.5pt100%
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
+30 altri esiti
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.4600+15.0pt99%
- Above 4.3800+4.0pt99%
- Above 4.4000+19.0pt99%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIGold 15 min · $4,364.81 target
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Volume totale
- 161K €
- Volume 24h
- 102,1K €
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.445099%
- Above 4.455099%
- Above 4.410099%
+24 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 100,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 100,7K €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027+7.0pt22%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+5.0pt21%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-5.0pt19%
+7 altri esiti
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 18, 2026?
- Brent crude oil price on September 17, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Michigan gas prices tomorrow
- Gold price on September 17, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Diesel prices this week
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- Florida gas prices tomorrow
- Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will another country leave OPEC in 2026??
- Polymarket quota No al 74% al 17 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will another country leave OPEC in 2026??
- Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will another country leave OPEC in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC.
- Dove altro è quotato Will another country leave OPEC in 2026??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Futuur, Limitless, Kalshi.