Previsione della comunità attuale
No 59%
Previsori
10
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 20 ore fa
Obsoleto24 dic 24, 22:42 UTC1 gen 40, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Al take 25% of human jobs before 2040?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will Al take 25% of human jobs?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will Al take 90% of human jobs?
Manifold MarketsWill Al take 25% of human jobs before 2050?
Manifold MarketsBy 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen in 2026 related to AI?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution Criteria:
- The question will resolve to YES if at least one of the following occurs:
- The broader unemployment rate (U-6) reaches 50% or higher
- The labor force participation rate drops by 50% or more from its 2024 baseline of 62.5%.
- In this context the LFPR should fall to 31.3% or lower.
- This question is concerned with lost jobs and not the number of hours worked per week.
