Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 56.1%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto6 mag 24, 23:59 UTC6 mar 31, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will some kind of "9/11 but with ships" event happen by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Lukashenko still be the President of Belarus by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by which date?
PolymarketU.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by which date?
PolymarketWill Belarus invade Ukraine by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves as YES if there is are significant events occurring at the Swedish embassy in Belarus that make international headlines before January 1st 2031.
- The event must be outside the context of conventional diplomatic activities.
- Events can include, but are not limited to, harbouring a Belarusian dissident, storming of the embassy, explosion at the embassy, ...
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a significant event occur at the Swedish embassy in Belarus before 2031??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 56% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a significant event occur at the Swedish embassy in Belarus before 2031??
- Will a significant event occur at the Swedish embassy in Belarus before 2031? dovrebbe risolversi il 6 marzo 2031.
- Come viene liquidato Will a significant event occur at the Swedish embassy in Belarus before 2031??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves as YES if there is are significant events occurring at the Swedish embassy in Belarus that make international headlines before January 1st 2031.