Will a second bird species (not eurasian magpie) be marked as passing the mirror test by EOY2030?
One-OffScienza4aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 59.1%
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5
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto7 giu 26, 00:05 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
There is suggestive evidence in one owl (N=1 wesley), one toucan (N=1), and adelie penguins
- Crows and parrots still fail this test hard
- Btw John marzluff says the magpie interpretation is controversial
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a second bird species (not eurasian magpie) be marked as passing the mirror test by EOY2030??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 59% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a second bird species (not eurasian magpie) be marked as passing the mirror test by EOY2030??
- Will a second bird species (not eurasian magpie) be marked as passing the mirror test by EOY2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will a second bird species (not eurasian magpie) be marked as passing the mirror test by EOY2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: There is suggestive evidence in one owl (N=1 wesley), one toucan (N=1), and adelie penguins