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Metodologia
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Obsoleto5 set 23, 05:44 UTC1 gen 30, 07:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
A Pulsar Timing Detection of a Deviation from Kerr in Sgr A*
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KalshiWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketRegole
NANOGrav recently made headlines by observing the stochastic gravitational waves background produced by the combination of many supermassive black hole binaries.
- Will a Pulsar Timing Array successfully pinpoint and resolve a specific supermassive black hole binary as a point source of gravitational waves before the year 2030.
- This question will be resolved with a "YES" if a Pulsar Timing Arrays colaboration announces the successful identification of a point source of gravitational waves with a significance exceeding 3σ by the year 2030.
- Otherwise, it will be resolved as "NO."
Mercati aperti
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
+2 altri esiti
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- 211K €
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- December 31+0.1pt4%
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+5 altri esiti
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- Yes+1.9pt4%
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KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
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- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
+1 altri esiti
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- 104,9K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a Pulsar Timing Array experiment detect gravitational waves from a resolvable point source before the year 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 52% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a Pulsar Timing Array experiment detect gravitational waves from a resolvable point source before the year 2030??
- Will a Pulsar Timing Array experiment detect gravitational waves from a resolvable point source before the year 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will a Pulsar Timing Array experiment detect gravitational waves from a resolvable point source before the year 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: NANOGrav recently made headlines by observing the stochastic gravitational waves background produced by the combination of many supermassive black hole binaries.