Previsione della comunità attuale
No 96.3%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
2 ott 26, 20:05 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which AI lab will be the first to solve a millennium prize problem?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic Claims to Solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2027?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI Claims to Solve another Millennium Prize Problem before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI solve a new millennium prize problem by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold Marketswill lucas solve a millenium prize problem in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
I (Bayesian) bet the mathematician Elliot Glazer that a Millennium Problem will be solved in 2026 by a non-lab AI-only effort.
- More details here:
- [image]This bet will resolve on the basis of Daniel Litt's judgement.
