Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 97.4%
Previsori
71
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
21 dic 24, 20:12 UTC31 dic 27, 00:00 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which AI lab's model will be the first to solve a Millennium Problem?
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PolymarketRegole
This market tracks whether an artificial intelligence system will solve one of the remaining Millennium Prize Problems.
- Resolution will be based on official announcements from the Clay Mathematics Institute confirming an AI-generated solution.
- https://www.metaculus.com/questions/17432/ai-solves-millennium-problem-before-july-2025/
- https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 135,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7K €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 325K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will an AI solve a Millennium problem by EOY 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 97% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will an AI solve a Millennium problem by EOY 2027??
- Will an AI solve a Millennium problem by EOY 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will an AI solve a Millennium problem by EOY 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market tracks whether an artificial intelligence system will solve one of the remaining Millennium Prize Problems.