Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027?
GeopoliticaOne-Off1a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 89.1%
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto4 apr 26, 11:33 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027?
- The ship must not be decommissioned but must be actively in service.
- The perpetrator could be a state’s navy, a special operations unit, a terrorist organization, or a lone terrorist. “Sunk” means that the ship is rendered unseaworthy and at least 50% of its above-water superstructure is submerged.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if, before 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2027, a cruise ship is sunk by a state military force, a terrorist organization, or a lone actor.
- For the purpose of this market:
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 89% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027??
- Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027?