FutuurVerifica disponibilitàDati di risoluzione verificatiProbabilità implicita attuale
No 99%
No 99%Qualità del mercato
34 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
1,4K €
Bassa liquiditàTrader
35
Commenti
3
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Tensions between the People's Republic of China and the Republic of China (a.k.a.
- Taiwan) have risen since 2016.
- If by December 31st, 2026, the People's Republic of China deploys military strength in an attempt to take control over the Taiwanese territory, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Only kinetic military action will be considered to resolve this market.
- Kinetic military action excludes electronic and cybernetic war resources and includes the shooting of projectiles, troops, and land armored vehicles deployment inside Taiwanese territory.
- The deployment of airships and warships to Taiwanese territories will only be taken into account if it causes structural damage or leads to a martial response, and each of such cases will be analyzed individually.
