Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal?
US PoliticsGeopoliticaOne-Off3a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 86%
Previsori
53
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto8 gen 25, 00:09 UTC31 dic 29, 15:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump deploy the US military to the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsWill the Panama Canal belong to the US prior to 2029
Manifold MarketsWill Trump take back the Panama Canal?
KalshiWill the US control Greenland in 2026?
FutuurRegole
Any use of military force whether sucessful or not will resolve to Yes.
- Use of military force will be interpreted as employing any branch of the US Department of Defense to attack, intimidate, or coerce via military weapons, officers, officials, soldiers, technology and/or intelligence.
- Update 2026-01-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve NO if there are no credible reports or evidence to suggest the US military is involved to take over Greenland at any time during Donald Trump's 2nd term.
- Note: The creator's clarification only mentions Greenland, not the Panama Canal, which is also part of the market question.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 86% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal??
- Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Any use of military force whether sucessful or not will resolve to Yes.