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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Geopolitica
  3. US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

2.0% (24h)GeopoliticaOne-OffUS Politics6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 11%+0.0%
Qualita del mercato

73 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

5,5K €

Liquidità

24,8K €

Alta liquidità
Bid / Ask

10.0% / 11.0%

Spread

10.0%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

+0.5%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 6 minuti fa

13 nov 25, 21:4631 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes11%

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
  • An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur.
  • Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.

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Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
  • An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur.
  • Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.